On the 13th, SSE 50 index futures fell by 2.58%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, SSE 50 index futures closed at 2,412, up or down by -2.58%, with a turnover of 53,000 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 7,398 lots. The total number of contracts of SSE 50 index futures was 91,500 lots, an increase of 25,700 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 88,200 lots, an increase of 2,257 lots over the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 113,700 lots, an increase of 1,701 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)The annual evaluation report of the big model in the financial field was released, and the big model of Step Star/Fortune Leap Star performed well. The 6th Shanghai International Forum on Financial Technology was held in Shanghai. At the meeting, Shanghai Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, together with Shanghai University of Finance and Economics and Shanghai Cooper Technology Co., Ltd., released the Report on Evaluation of Large Models in Financial Field (2024), which comprehensively evaluated 20 models from five dimensions: model basic ability, financial security and value alignment ability, financial risk control ability, financial professional cognitive ability and financial business auxiliary expansion ability. The comprehensive scores of Anthropic, Step Star/Fortune Star and Alibaba ranked in the top three. Step-2-16k model of Step Star/Fortune Star got the second comprehensive score, and the multi-modal comprehensive score of Finstep model got the first.FedEx signed a memorandum of understanding with Hong Kong Customs on the facilitation of cross-border express customs clearance. FedEx announced that it signed a memorandum of understanding with Hong Kong Customs on the facilitation of cross-border express customs clearance (CEFA) yesterday and became the first company to join the memorandum of understanding, which is expected to benefit from stable and efficient customs clearance procedures. CEFA aims to improve the efficiency of customs clearance of cross-border cargoes from the Mainland to Hong Kong. According to the Memorandum of Understanding, the Customs and Excise Department will provide customs clearance service for imported cargoes transported from the Mainland to Hong Kong at one of the FedEx service stations in the urban area of Hong Kong, and arrange for imported cargoes currently transported to Hong Kong by FedEx Guangzhou Asia-Pacific transshipment center to be transported by cross-border trucks equipped with electronic locks (E-locks) and global positioning systems (GPS).
From January to October, the total output of lithium batteries in China increased by 16% year-on-year. According to the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, China's lithium-ion battery industry continued to grow from January to October 2024. According to the announcement of lithium battery industry norms, enterprise information and industry associations, the total output of lithium batteries in China from January to October was 890GWh, up 16% year-on-year. According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, the profit of China's lithium battery manufacturing industry increased by 39.4% from January to October. In the battery sector, the output of energy storage lithium batteries exceeded 200GWh from January to October. The loading capacity of power lithium batteries for new energy vehicles is about 405GWh. From January to October, the total export of lithium batteries in China reached 350.2 billion yuan, down 9.2% year-on-year, and the decline was 3.3 percentage points narrower than that in January-June.Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.
The annual evaluation report of the big model in the financial field was released, and the big model of Step Star/Fortune Leap Star performed well. The 6th Shanghai International Forum on Financial Technology was held in Shanghai. At the meeting, Shanghai Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, together with Shanghai University of Finance and Economics and Shanghai Cooper Technology Co., Ltd., released the Report on Evaluation of Large Models in Financial Field (2024), which comprehensively evaluated 20 models from five dimensions: model basic ability, financial security and value alignment ability, financial risk control ability, financial professional cognitive ability and financial business auxiliary expansion ability. The comprehensive scores of Anthropic, Step Star/Fortune Star and Alibaba ranked in the top three. Step-2-16k model of Step Star/Fortune Star got the second comprehensive score, and the multi-modal comprehensive score of Finstep model got the first.The exposure of Xiaomi Auto to the sea is accelerated, and overseas sales will be carried out around the local Xiaomi Home store. Many sources say that Xiaomi Auto is preparing to build a car business to the sea. The international department of Xiaomi Group has added a preparation team for the sea sales business, and is recruiting positions such as market research, project management and electric vehicle after-sales engineers. Under the Ministry of Automobile, Xiaomi's autonomous driving department has added a number of jobs for overseas markets to solve the problem of overseas legal verification and function landing of autonomous driving function. It is foreseeable that autonomous driving will be one of the key points of Xiaomi Automobile's betting on the sea. The report quoted people familiar with the matter as saying that after the formation of the team, Xiaomi will sell small quantities of cars overseas in recent years to test the market reaction and prepare for the large-scale development of the sea business. The overseas sales of Xiaomi Automobile will mainly rely on the Xiaomi Home store under the International Department. At present, Xiaomi has more than 100 direct stores overseas. In July this year, Lei Jun replied, "When can I buy Xiaomi cars in France?" The goal is to sell Xiaomi brand cars in Europe before 2030. Judging from the speed of the formation of Xiaomi Auto's sea team, this progress is likely to be accelerated. (36Kr Auto)On the 13th, caustic soda dropped by 3.03%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract caustic soda 2501 closed, with a turnover of 57,100 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 1,383 lots. The total contract turnover of caustic soda futures was 94,800 lots, an increase of 27,900 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 71,100 lots, an increase of 2,202 lots over the previous day. Short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 72,700 lots, an increase of 1,157 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14